Week 11 Is it Connor Dowd sadness season?

 Alright the trade deadline is tomorrow. I am shooting free throws at the Sixers tonight so this is getting knocked out fast. 

First Alex lost to Dan. He had 4 players on bye so he gets hit with a $20 fine. Yikes, Alex please set your lineup this week. 

The worse game of the week was Ryan and Connor. Ryan pulled out the win 66-58 in the luckiest win of the season and Ryan holds on to the last playoff spot despite only scoring over 100 twice this year. Very Lucky so far Ryan. Connor so embarrassing but don't worry let's look at doug's team.

Seems all Doug's players not named Kelce are on IR. Not good. He does get Hill back from bye but Kupp. Thomas and Dobbins being on IR could hurt but with a one game division lead if Connor does not win another game Doug will sneak in. 

Rich crushed Roger, which puts Roger on the outside looking in of the playoff picture. Could Roger's hot start fizzle out so soon. Seems like it is but with 3 weeks left he needs some losses by Brendan or Ryan to get that wild card spot. 

Speaking of Brendan he took an unfortunate loss to Chris who roster decided that Justin Jefferson was holding him back. With the win it looks like Alex is locking down last place this year. Hard to see him picking up many more Ws this year. 

Frank beat Matt in the battle of the top teams, but Matt took revenge as the brothers played in multiple leagues this week. Not that any of the other 4 readers care. 

So time to break down playoff chances 

Frank ESPN chance of making the playoffs = 98% 1 more win clinches a spot, 2 wins or Brendan Ls clinch the division 

MAtt/Coin Espn chance of making the playoffs=  91% 2 wins gets him in for sure

Steve 84%/Ryan 78% tied for the division 2 wins gets steve in for sure likely gets Ryan if Roger and Dan lose

Doug 74% Game lead over Connor with the tie breaker 2 wins likely gets the job down for him

Roger Brendan 52% and 46% Winner here probably makes it unless Dan goes undefeated the rest of the way

Dan 45% needs Brendan, Steve, or Ryan to lose 2 games and win 2 of 3

Connor 26% basically win out, or 2-1 with Doug losing 2 and score a lot more points than him the next 3 weeks

Rich 6% Rich needs to win out and have lots of ties. I am surprised it is at 6%

Alex and Chris 0%

Next week a few teams might have spots locked down. Have a happy Thanksgiving all!