Playoffs after week 12

 Borrowed Matt's Surface during the Thursday night game. Oddly last time I broke my laptop I borrowed his surface to write my law school journal application in iceland. So thanks for that. Making this one quick here are the playoff scenarios as I see them, may not be 100% accurate. 

Alex, Chris gone.

Rich needs 2 wins and Dan to lose two in a row, one of Roger or Matt to lose 2 in a row and Brendan to lose 1 and out not outscore Rich by 34 over the next two weeks. ESPN puts it at 3% which might be high.

On the flip side of the east Division, Frank is in as long as I set a lineup based on the points scored I have over Brendan. A bye is clinched with a win or lost by Matt based on tiebreakers.

Brendan gets in with 2 wins, 1 win and 2 loses by Dan and Roger and a lose by Rich or outscoring Rich by 34 points. Realistically that is the only tie breaker Brendan can win if full lineups are set each week. ESPN says 23% which is probably fair. 

Next to the North Doug wins the north if he wins 1 more week and is not outscored by Connor by 84 points the next 2 weeks. He is on a 5 game losing streak but connor is on a 4 game so like Doug's chances

Connor needs 2 more wins than Doug so this week against Dan is a must win since that tiebreaker is unlikely to go his way.

In the West Steve gets a spot with a win or a lost by 2 of Dan, Brendan, and Roger since he has tiebreakers against everyone who's last name is not Brennan. He plays Alex this week so he is in.

Ryan gets a spot with 2 wins or 1 win and a lost by 2 of Dan Brendan and Roger, Ryan likely losses all tiebreakers except to Brendan. 

Ryan gets a bye if wins out and Steve losses a game. Steve gets it is wins out. Matt gets it if he wins out and Steve and Ryan lose a game. 

Matt wins his division with 2 wins 1 win and 1 Roger loss or 2 Roger losses, Roger wins it if the opposite of that occurs.

Dan gets the 2nd wildcard with 2 wins, 1 win and losses by Brendan and Roger (while holding the tie break 4 point edge on Roger right now)